My guts are screaming pretty loudly right about now that Rafael fits the current GOP electorate best. Of course, I’ve also been saying Trump will flame out for about 6 months now, and maintain to this day it will still happen. Predictions are hard and all.
Think about how good you have to be at what you do to get where Cruz has gotten in a people business where virtually everyone who knows him hates him. He has Nixonian ruthlessness, cunning, ambition, and intellect. He’s no moron, but certainly is such an awesome asshole the latter more than makes up for Ted’s Ivy League eduction and intellectual pedigree in the eye’s of Cruz’ Einsteinian base of hard core theocrats and general Haters, the ones that just love being “led.” Need to be led.
HRC’s ceiling is, IMO, 53% of the vote if she runs a flawless campaign (she won’t). There isn’t going to be much margin for error. Ted will present a serious problem, since I assume all those Principled Establishment Republicans who are on record as hating Cruz will come ’round to the modern GOP’s barely unspoken motto of “Party before Country” soon enough.
The scariest words and perhaps the most raw expression of pure tribalism in politics are, “I will support our party’s nominee [no matter who it is].”
The only good I can see coming from a Cruz Presidency is that I think he’d be a one-termer and would ultimately prove to be another nail in the coffin of the modern Republican party. The man clearly doesn’t wear well, and he wants to give more money to rich people than every single other Republican candidate, which is now a proven failure on both national and state levels, as Bush The Lesser and the fine Republicans in KS and LA have clearly demonstrated, so I assume it will fail again, but we won’t see the consequences for another several years and by then it will be too late for me to care.
If Cruz wins, once again being an oldish, spouseless, childless SWM loner with a laptop, a dog and a cat will come very much in handy. I can ride Ted out.
I continue to believe I was born at just the right time and place in the history of the American Empire, because a Cruz Presidency would most certainly be another signpost to me that the best days are behind us. Underestimating him is a fool’s game.
Update: David Wasserman rains some reassuring data on my apocalyptic-grade fear of a Cruz Presidency.