The only thing I would quibble over in this rundown of the state of play in the GOP primary is that to my jaded cynical eyes no matter who wins the Republican primary their odds of winning are at least 40%, a small quibble indeed.
Mitt Romney’s “47%” comments were widely reported, but at the time I couldn’t understand why nobody in the Democratic party pointed out that the GOP nominee has a floor, too, made up almost entirely of angry white guys, bigots, homophobes, racists, Christianists, and morons.
I put that floor at very near 45%, not too much different than the 47 Mittens so stupidly tossed about. Odd that modern Presidential races now come down to about 10 states and 10% of the population. A little disturbing, too.